Juventus x Napoli Betting tips for September 21 in Italy Serie A
π
21/9/2024 13:00 |
Juventus 2.08 |
X 3.35 |
Napoli 3.60 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Juventus x Napoli:
π Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Juventus x Napoli
The main points for the tip for Juventus x Napoli: π If you had bet $100 on Napoli in each of its last 4 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. |
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Analysis from Juventus x Napoli for the Italy Serie A – 21 of September
ποΈ Juventus X Napoli – Italy Serie A |
When the best bet on Juventus x Napoli is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Napoli
Is it a good idea to bet on Juventus?
π΅ Juventus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.47% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 470 times – having a profit of $507.60;
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$22.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
βͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $705.00
- And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just π°$5.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on Napoli?
π΄ Napoli: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 230 times – profiting $598.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$172.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Napoli
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Juventus
β½ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Napoli
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Juventus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Juventus.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Juventus.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Napoli
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.