Guimaraes x FC Porto Betting tips for September 21 in Portugal Primeira Liga

Our betting tip for Guimaraes x FC Porto, Saturday, 21/9/2024

📅 21/9/2024 14:00

Guimaraes 5.19

X 3.30

FC Porto 1.76

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Guimaraes x FC Porto:

🔮 FC Porto wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Porto, you can win up to $880.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Guimaraes x FC Porto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Guimaraes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $251.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Porto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $328.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Guimaraes scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Guimaraes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against FC Porto. 👉 Guimaraes is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Even as a visitor, FC Porto won the last 5 head-to-head matches Guimaraes´s territory

Looking for another bookie to bet on Guimaraes x FC Porto?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Guimaraes x FC Porto, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Guimaraes x FC Porto for the Portugal Primeira Liga – 21 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Guimaraes and FC Porto.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1184423 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Guimaraes x FC Porto

Is betting on Guimaraes worth it?

🔵 Guimaraes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.62% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.19. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $670.40;
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$169.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $598.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$142.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on FC Porto?

🔴 FC Porto: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 58.22%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 580 times – profiting $440.80;
• And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$20.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Guimaraes x FC Porto

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Guimaraes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guimaraes x FC Porto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Guimaraes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Guimaraes.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 FC Porto.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guimaraes x FC Porto

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.