Reims x PSG Betting tips for September 21 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Reims x PSG, Saturday, 21/9/2024

📅 21/9/2024 16:00

Reims 5.72

X 4.50

PSG 1.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Reims x PSG:

🔮 PSG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PSG, you can win up to $750.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Reims x PSG: 👉 If you had bet $100 on PSG in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-16.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, PSG scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Reims conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, PSG conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, PSG has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Reims x PSG for the France Ligue 1 – 21 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Reims x PSG right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1184423 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Reims x PSG

Is it worth betting on Reims?

🔵 Reims: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $188.80;
• And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$771.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $315.00;
• And would lose other 910 times – having a loss of -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$595.00.

Is it worth betting on PSG?

🔴 PSG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 87.61% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 880 times – having a profit of $440.00;
• And would have lost other 120 times – with a loss of -$120.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$320.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Reims x PSG

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Reims
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reims x PSG

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Reims, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Reims.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reims x PSG

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.