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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko Betting tips for October 9 in Israel Leumit Liga
Wednesday, 09 October 2024, 13h00 Israel Leumit Liga
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
PREDICTION No tip
Hapoel Akko Hapoel Akko
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Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko Betting tips for October 9 in Israel Leumit Liga

Our betting tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko, Wednesday, 9/10/2024
πŸ“… 9/10/2024
13:00
Hapoel Afula Hapoel Afula
2.00
X
3.50
Hapoel Akko Hapoel Akko
3.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko

Some important points for the tip for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Afula in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Hapoel Akko in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Hapoel Akko, Hapoel Afula scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Hapoel Afula conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Hapoel Afula has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Hapoel Akko playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko for the Israel Leumit Liga – 9 of October

🏟️ Hapoel Afula X Hapoel Akko – Israel Leumit Liga
πŸ“… 9 of October, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Hapoel Afula – Winning probability: 57.30% | Fair line: 1.75
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.01% | Fair line: 4.35
πŸ”΄ Hapoel Akko – Winning probability: 19.69% | Fair line: 5.08
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hapoel Afula
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Hapoel Afula and Hapoel Akko.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1195707 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko

Is it worth betting on Hapoel Afula?

πŸ”΅ Hapoel Afula: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$140.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$195.00.

Is betting on Hapoel Akko worth it?

πŸ”΄ Hapoel Akko: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$350.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Hapoel Afula
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Hapoel Afula, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Hapoel Afula.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Hapoel Afula x Hapoel Akko

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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