Alvechurch x Stourbridge Betting tips for September 28 in England Southern Premier League Central

Our betting tip for Alvechurch x Stourbridge, Saturday, 28/9/2024

📅 28/9/2024 11:01

Alvechurch 2.27

X 3.25

Stourbridge 2.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Alvechurch x Stourbridge:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Alvechurch x Stourbridge

The main points for the tip for Alvechurch x Stourbridge: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Stourbridge in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-65.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Stourbridge scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Stourbridge, Alvechurch scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Alvechurch matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Stourbridge matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Alvechurch has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Stourbridge.

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Analysis from Alvechurch x Stourbridge for the England Southern Premier League Central – 28 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Alvechurch x Stourbridge right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189218 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Alvechurch x Stourbridge

Is it a good idea to bet on Alvechurch?

🔵 Alvechurch: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.27. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $609.60;
• And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$89.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $630.00;
• And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$90.00.

Is betting on Stourbridge worth it?

🔴 Stourbridge: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – profiting $408.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$352.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Alvechurch x Stourbridge

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Alvechurch
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alvechurch x Stourbridge

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Alvechurch and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Alvechurch.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Stourbridge.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alvechurch x Stourbridge

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.