Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion Betting tips for September 26 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion, Thursday, 26/9/2024

📅 26/9/2024 21:30

Cruzeiro 1.59

X 3.67

Libertad Asuncion 5.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion:

🔮 Cruzeiro wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Cruzeiro, you can win up to $795.00!

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The main points for the tip for Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-144.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Libertad Asuncion in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-215.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Libertad Asuncion scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Libertad Asuncion matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Libertad Asuncion has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion:

Analysis from Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion for the Copa Sudamericana – 26 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189218 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion

Should you bet on Cruzeiro?

🔵 Cruzeiro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 85.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.59. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $507.40
• And would lose other 140 times – losing -$140.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$367.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.58% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 90 times – profiting $240.30;
• And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$669.70.

Is it worth betting on Libertad Asuncion?

🔴 Libertad Asuncion: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $270.00;
• And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$670.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Cruzeiro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Cruzeiro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Cruzeiro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Cruzeiro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cruzeiro x Libertad Asuncion

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.