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Home » Predictions » Others » Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza Betting tips for September 26 in Colombia Primera A
Thursday, 26 September 2024, 20h30 Colombia Primera A
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
PREDICTION Independiente Santa Fe wins Probability 76% 1 X 2
Alianza Alianza
ODD: @1.58 Don't miss this prediction!

Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza Betting tips for September 26 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza, Thursday, 26/9/2024
📅 26/9/2024
20:30
Independiente Santa Fe Independiente Santa Fe
1.58
X
3.50
Alianza Alianza
5.74

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza:

🔮 Independiente Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Santa Fe, you can win up to $790.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $189.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Independiente Santa Fe conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Alianza conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza:

Analysis from Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza for the Colombia Primera A – 26 of September

🏟️ Independiente Santa Fe X Alianza – Colombia Primera A
📅 26 of September, 2024 – 20:30
🔵 Independiente Santa Fe – Winning probability: 76.54% | Fair line: 1.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.04% | Fair line: 5.54
🔴 Alianza – Winning probability: 5.42% | Fair line: 18.44
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189012 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza

Is it worth betting on Independiente Santa Fe?

🔵 Independiente Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 770 times – this would give you a profit of $446.60
  • And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$216.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.04%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Alianza?

🔴 Alianza: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.42% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $237.00;
  • And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$713.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Independiente Santa Fe.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Santa Fe x Alianza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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