Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas Betting tips for September 26 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas, Thursday, 26/9/2024

📅 26/9/2024 22:00

Correcaminos 3.40

X 3.50

Mineros de Zacatecas 1.87

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas:

🔮 Tied Match
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Some important points for the tip for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Correcaminos in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-18.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Mineros de Zacatecas did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Correcaminos scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Mineros de Zacatecas matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Correcaminos conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Correcaminos has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Mineros de Zacatecas playing at home.

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Analysis from Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 26 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1189012 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

Is betting on Correcaminos worth it?

🔵 Correcaminos: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $384.00
• And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $725.00
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$15.00.

Should you bet on Mineros de Zacatecas?

🔴 Mineros de Zacatecas: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 550 times – having a profit of $478.50;
• And would have lost other 450 times – with a loss of -$450.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$28.50, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Handicaps analysis for the match Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Correcaminos
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Correcaminos and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Correcaminos.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Correcaminos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Correcaminos x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.