Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense Betting tips for September 26 in Copa Sudamericana
| 📅 26/9/2024 21:30 |
 Racing Club1.91 |
X 3.40 |
Athletico Paranaense  3.75 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense:
🔮 Racing Club wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Racing Club, you can win up to $955.00!
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Important information for your tip for Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $18.0. |
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Analysis from Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense for the Copa Sudamericana – 26 of September
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🏟️ Racing Club X Athletico Paranaense – Copa Sudamericana |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1189218 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense
Is betting on Racing Club worth it?
🔵 Racing Club: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 68.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $618.80
- And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$298.80.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$286.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Athletico Paranaense?
🔴 Athletico Paranaense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $302.50;
- And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$587.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Racing Club
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Racing Club and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Racing Club.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Racing Club.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Racing Club x Athletico Paranaense
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
