Mainz x Heidenheim Betting tips for September 28 in Germany Bundesliga I
| 📅 28/9/2024 10:30 |
 Mainz1.70 |
X 3.92 |
Heidenheim  4.50 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Mainz x Heidenheim:
🔮 Mainz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mainz, you can win up to $850.00!
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Important information for your tip for Mainz x Heidenheim: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mainz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-163.0. |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x Heidenheim?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mainz x Heidenheim, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Mainz x Heidenheim for the Germany Bundesliga I – 28 of September
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🏟️ Mainz X Heidenheim – Germany Bundesliga I |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mainz x Heidenheim right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189524 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Mainz x Heidenheim
Should you bet on Mainz?
🔵 Mainz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 66.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $469.00
- And would lose other 330 times – losing -$330.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$139.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.92. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $554.80
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$255.20.
Is it worth betting on Heidenheim?
🔴 Heidenheim: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.44% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – profiting $490.00;
- And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$370.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Mainz x Heidenheim
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Mainz
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mainz x Heidenheim
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Mainz and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Mainz.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Mainz.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mainz x Heidenheim
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.
