Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen Betting tips for September 28 in Germany Bundesliga I

Our betting tip for Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen, Saturday, 28/9/2024

📅 28/9/2024 13:30

Bayern Munich 2.05

X 3.95

Bayer Leverkusen 3.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen:

🔮 Bayern Munich wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bayern Munich, you can win up to $1025.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayern Munich in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $104.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bayer Leverkusen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $74.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Bayern Munich scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Bayer Leverkusen scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Bayer Leverkusen, Bayern Munich scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Bayern Munich is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 4 home matches, it had at least 67.00% of possession. 👉 Bayern Munich is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Bayer Leverkusen is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 4 wins in a row in its last road matches. 👉 Bayern Munich has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Bayer Leverkusen playing at home.

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Analysis from Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen for the Germany Bundesliga I – 28 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189524 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen

Is it a good idea to bet on Bayern Munich?

🔵 Bayern Munich: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 780 times – having a profit of $819.00;
• And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$599.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $265.50;
• And would have lost other 910 times – with a loss of -$910.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$644.50.

Should you bet on Bayer Leverkusen?

🔴 Bayer Leverkusen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $292.50;
• And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$577.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Bayern Munich
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Bayern Munich, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Bayern Munich.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Bayer Leverkusen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bayern Munich x Bayer Leverkusen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.