Le Havre x Lille Betting tips for September 28 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Le Havre x Lille, Saturday, 28/9/2024

📅 28/9/2024 14:00

Le Havre 4.11

X 3.61

Lille 1.83

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Le Havre x Lille:

🔮 Lille wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lille, you can win up to $915.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Le Havre x Lille: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lille in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0. 👉 In the last 6 Le Havre matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Le Havre conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Lille conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Lille as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Le Havre x Lille?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Le Havre x Lille:

Analysis from Le Havre x Lille for the France Ligue 1 – 28 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Le Havre and Lille.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1189524 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Le Havre x Lille

Is it a good idea to bet on Le Havre?

🔵 Le Havre: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.11. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 130 times – profiting $404.30;
• And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$465.70.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.61. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $600.30
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$169.70.

Is betting on Lille worth it?

🔴 Lille: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 640 times – profiting $531.20;
• And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$171.20.

Handicaps analysis for the match Le Havre x Lille

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Le Havre
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Le Havre x Lille

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 Le Havre and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Le Havre. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Le Havre x Lille

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.