Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou Betting tips for September 29 in Greece Super League 2

Our betting tip for Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Kavala 1.74

X 3.32

Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou 4.35

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou:

🔮 Kavala wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kavala, you can win up to $870.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kavala in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $184.0. 👉 Kavala did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Kavala scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Kavala matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 9 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Kavala is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou for the Greece Super League 2 – 29 of September

When the best bet on Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

Is betting on Kavala worth it?

🔵 Kavala: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 630 times – having a profit of $466.20;
• And would lose other 370 times – having a loss of -$370.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$96.20.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 16.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $394.40;
• And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$435.60.

Is it worth betting on Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou?

🔴 Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 200 times – profiting $670.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$130.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Kavala
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Kavala, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Kavala.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kavala x Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.