Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 9

Our betting tip for Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 06:00

Atletico Malagueno 1.15

X 6.10

CD El Ejido 12.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido:

🔮 Atletico Malagueno wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Malagueno, you can win up to $575.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Malagueno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-217.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Malagueno scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD El Ejido scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against CD El Ejido, Atletico Malagueno scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido, with Atletico Malagueno as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Atletico Malagueno conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico Malagueno conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against CD El Ejido. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, CD El Ejido has not lost any of them.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido for the Spain Tercera Group 9 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Atletico Malagueno and CD El Ejido.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido

Is it a good idea to bet on Atletico Malagueno?

🔵 Atletico Malagueno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $148.50
• And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$138.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 6.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $51.00;
• And would lose other 990 times – losing -$990.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$939.00.

Is it worth betting on CD El Ejido?

🔴 CD El Ejido: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.04% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 12.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Atletico Malagueno
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.75 Atletico Malagueno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Atletico Malagueno.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Atletico Malagueno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico Malagueno x CD El Ejido

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.