Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC Betting tips for September 29 in Australia Cup
| 📅 29/9/2024 06:10 |
 Melbourne Victory1.45 |
X 4.40 |
Macarthur FC  5.30 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC:
🔮 Melbourne Victory wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Melbourne Victory, you can win up to $725.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Melbourne Victory in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-340.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC?
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Analysis from Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC for the Australia Cup – 29 of September
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🏟️ Melbourne Victory X Macarthur FC – Australia Cup |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC
Is it a good idea to bet on Melbourne Victory?
🔵 Melbourne Victory: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 83.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 840 times – profiting $378.00;
- And would have lost other 160 times – with a loss of -$160.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$218.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.02%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $272.00
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$648.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Macarthur FC?
🔴 Macarthur FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.11% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $344.00
- And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$576.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Melbourne Victory
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Melbourne Victory and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Melbourne Victory.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Macarthur FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Melbourne Victory x Macarthur FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.
