Central & Western x Citizen AA Betting tips for September 29 in Hong Kong 1st Division
| 📅 29/9/2024 06:30 |
 Central & Western1.33 |
X 5.25 |
Citizen AA  6.00 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Central & Western x Citizen AA:
🔮 Central & Western wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Central & Western, you can win up to $665.00!
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The main points for the tip for Central & Western x Citizen AA: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Central & Western in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $16.0. |
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Analysis from Central & Western x Citizen AA for the Hong Kong 1st Division – 29 of September
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🏟️ Central & Western X Citizen AA – Hong Kong 1st Division |
When the best bet on Central & Western x Citizen AA is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Central & Western x Citizen AA
Should you bet on Central & Western?
🔵 Central & Western: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 870 times – this would give you a profit of $287.10
- And would lose other 130 times – having a loss of -$130.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$157.10.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $382.50;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$527.50.
Should you bet on Citizen AA?
🔴 Citizen AA: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $250.00
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$700.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Central & Western x Citizen AA
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Central & Western
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Central & Western x Citizen AA
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Central & Western, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Central & Western.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Citizen AA.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Central & Western x Citizen AA
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.
