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Home Β» Predictions Β» Kenyan Premier League Β» KCB x Ulinzi Stars Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Kenya Premier League
KCB KCB
PREDICTION No tip
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
Don't miss this prediction!

KCB x Ulinzi Stars Betting tips for September 29 in Kenya Premier League

Our betting tip for KCB x Ulinzi Stars, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
07:00
KCB KCB
2.10
X
2.80
Ulinzi Stars Ulinzi Stars
3.61

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for KCB x Ulinzi Stars:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for KCB x Ulinzi Stars

Important information for your tip for KCB x Ulinzi Stars:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ulinzi Stars scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between KCB x Ulinzi Stars, with KCB as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, Ulinzi Stars has not lost any of them.
πŸ‘‰ KCB has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Ulinzi Stars playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from KCB x Ulinzi Stars for the Kenya Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ KCB X Ulinzi Stars – Kenya Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
πŸ”΅ KCB – Winning probability: 42.70% | Fair line: 2.34
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.64% | Fair line: 3.16
πŸ”΄ Ulinzi Stars – Winning probability: 25.66% | Fair line: 3.9
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on KCB x Ulinzi Stars is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KCB x Ulinzi Stars

Is it worth betting on KCB?

πŸ”΅ KCB: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – profiting $473.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$97.00.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $576.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$104.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Ulinzi Stars?

πŸ”΄ Ulinzi Stars: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.66%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $678.60;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$61.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KCB x Ulinzi Stars

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KCB
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KCB x Ulinzi Stars

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 KCB, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 KCB.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Ulinzi Stars.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KCB x Ulinzi Stars

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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