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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932 Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h00 Portugal Segunda Liga
FC Porto B FC Porto B
PREDICTION No tip
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
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FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932 Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
07:00
FC Porto B FC Porto B
2.60
X
3.21
Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932
2.55

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932

Important information for your tip for FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on FC Porto B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Felgueiras 1932 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-352.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, FC Porto B scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Felgueiras 1932 matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Porto B conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Felgueiras 1932 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932 for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 29 of September

🏟️ FC Porto B X Felgueiras 1932 – Portugal Segunda Liga
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 07:00
πŸ”΅ FC Porto B – Winning probability: 33.94% | Fair line: 2.95
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.26% | Fair line: 3.81
πŸ”΄ Felgueiras 1932 – Winning probability: 39.80% | Fair line: 2.51
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Porto B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932

Is it worth betting on FC Porto B?

πŸ”΅ FC Porto B: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $544.00;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$116.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.21. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $574.60;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$165.40.

Should you bet on Felgueiras 1932?

πŸ”΄ Felgueiras 1932: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 400 times – profiting $620.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$20.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Porto B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FC Porto B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FC Porto B.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Porto B x Felgueiras 1932

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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