Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:00

Linares Deportivo 2.05

X 3.00

San Fernando CD 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD

Some important points for the tip for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Linares Deportivo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $81.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on San Fernando CD in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $353.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Linares Deportivo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, San Fernando CD scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Linares Deportivo is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, San Fernando CD has not lost any of them.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD

Is betting on Linares Deportivo worth it?

🔵 Linares Deportivo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $493.50
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$36.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $520.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$220.00.

Should you bet on San Fernando CD?

🔴 San Fernando CD: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $648.00;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$82.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Linares Deportivo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Linares Deportivo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Linares Deportivo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 San Fernando CD.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Linares Deportivo x San Fernando CD

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.