CE Andratx x UD Alzira Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
| 📅 29/9/2024 07:00 |
 CE Andratx2.15 |
X 3.00 |
UD Alzira  3.26 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for CE Andratx x UD Alzira:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CE Andratx x UD Alzira
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The main points for the tip for CE Andratx x UD Alzira: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CE Andratx in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from CE Andratx x UD Alzira for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 29 of September
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🏟️ CE Andratx X UD Alzira – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CE Andratx and UD Alzira.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for CE Andratx x UD Alzira
Is it a good idea to bet on CE Andratx?
🔵 CE Andratx: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $517.50
- And would have lost other 550 times – with a loss of -$550.00 because of them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$32.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$190.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on UD Alzira?
🔴 UD Alzira: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $632.80;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$87.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match CE Andratx x UD Alzira
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 CE Andratx
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CE Andratx x UD Alzira
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 CE Andratx, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 CE Andratx.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 UD Alzira.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CE Andratx x UD Alzira
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
