Varea x CD Calahorra B Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 16

Our betting tip for Varea x CD Calahorra B, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:00

Varea 2.05

X 3.27

CD Calahorra B 3.10

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Varea x CD Calahorra B:

🔮 Varea wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Varea, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Varea x CD Calahorra B: 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Varea scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Calahorra B scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Varea x CD Calahorra B, with Varea as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 CD Calahorra B matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Varea conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, CD Calahorra B conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 CD Calahorra B is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Varea x CD Calahorra B?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Varea x CD Calahorra B, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Varea x CD Calahorra B for the Spain Tercera Group 16 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Varea and CD Calahorra B.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Varea x CD Calahorra B

Is betting on Varea worth it?

🔵 Varea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 520 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$66.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.27. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $522.10;
• And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$247.90.

Should you bet on CD Calahorra B?

🔴 CD Calahorra B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $525.00
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$225.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Varea x CD Calahorra B

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Varea
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Varea x CD Calahorra B

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Varea and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Varea.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 CD Calahorra B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Varea x CD Calahorra B

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.