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Home » Predictions » Eredivisie » PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC Betting tips for September 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h15 Netherlands Eredivisie
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
PREDICTION PEC Zwolle wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Almere City FC Almere City FC
ODD: @2 Don't miss this prediction!

PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC Betting tips for September 29 in Netherlands Eredivisie

Our betting tip for PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
07:15
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
2.00
X
3.55
Almere City FC Almere City FC
3.54

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC:

🔮 PEC Zwolle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PEC Zwolle, you can win up to $1000.00!

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Important information for your tip for PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PEC Zwolle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-138.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Almere City FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, PEC Zwolle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 PEC Zwolle matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC for the Netherlands Eredivisie – 29 of September

🏟️ PEC Zwolle X Almere City FC – Netherlands Eredivisie
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 07:15
🔵 PEC Zwolle – Winning probability: 57.52% | Fair line: 1.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.60% | Fair line: 3.76
🔴 Almere City FC – Winning probability: 15.88% | Fair line: 6.3
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PEC Zwolle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC

Should you bet on PEC Zwolle?

🔵 PEC Zwolle: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.52% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$160.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $688.50;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$41.50.

Is betting on Almere City FC worth it?

🔴 Almere City FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $406.40;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$433.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 PEC Zwolle
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 PEC Zwolle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 PEC Zwolle.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PEC Zwolle x Almere City FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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