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Home » Predictions » Others » Jerez x CD Extremadura Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 14
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 07h30 Spain Tercera Group 14
Jerez Jerez
PREDICTION CD Extremadura Wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
CD Extremadura CD Extremadura
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction!

Jerez x CD Extremadura Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 14

Our betting tip for Jerez x CD Extremadura, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
07:30
Jerez Jerez
3.96
X
3.38
CD Extremadura CD Extremadura
1.75

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Jerez x CD Extremadura:

🔮 CD Extremadura wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Extremadura, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Jerez x CD Extremadura:

👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Extremadura in each of its last 1 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-100.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Jerez scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Jerez matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Jerez conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Jerez is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Jerez x CD Extremadura?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Jerez x CD Extremadura:

Analysis from Jerez x CD Extremadura for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 29 of September

🏟️ Jerez X CD Extremadura – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 07:30
🔵 Jerez – Winning probability: 14.10% | Fair line: 7.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.90% | Fair line: 4.37
🔴 CD Extremadura – Winning probability: 63.01% | Fair line: 1.59
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Jerez
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Jerez and CD Extremadura.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Jerez x CD Extremadura

Is betting on Jerez worth it?

🔵 Jerez: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.1% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $414.40
  • And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$445.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.9% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $547.40;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$222.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Extremadura?

🔴 CD Extremadura: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – profiting $472.50;
  • And would lose other 370 times – losing -$370.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$102.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jerez x CD Extremadura

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Jerez
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jerez x CD Extremadura

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Jerez, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Jerez.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Jerez.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jerez x CD Extremadura

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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