Lindome GIF x IK Tord Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland

Our betting tip for Lindome GIF x IK Tord, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 08:00

Lindome GIF 2.25

X 3.75

IK Tord 2.40

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Lindome GIF x IK Tord:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lindome GIF x IK Tord

Important information for your tip for Lindome GIF x IK Tord: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lindome GIF in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on IK Tord in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $180.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Lindome GIF scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, IK Tord scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 Lindome GIF matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lindome GIF conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, IK Tord conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 road matches, IK Tord has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Lindome GIF x IK Tord for the Sweden 2.div Västra Götaland – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lindome GIF x IK Tord right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lindome GIF x IK Tord

Is it worth betting on Lindome GIF?

🔵 Lindome GIF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 420 times – profiting $525.00;
• And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$55.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$325.00.

Is it worth betting on IK Tord?

🔴 IK Tord: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 400 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
• And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$40.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lindome GIF x IK Tord

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Lindome GIF
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lindome GIF x IK Tord

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Lindome GIF and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Lindome GIF.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lindome GIF x IK Tord

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.