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Home » Predictions » Others » Esbjerg x Hillerød Betting tips for September 29 in Denmark Division 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h00 Denmark Division 1
Esbjerg Esbjerg
PREDICTION Hillerød Wins Probability 42% 1 X 2
Hillerød Hillerød
ODD: @2.62 Don't miss this prediction!

Esbjerg x Hillerød Betting tips for September 29 in Denmark Division 1

Our betting tip for Esbjerg x Hillerød, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
08:00
Esbjerg Esbjerg
2.33
X
3.44
Hillerød Hillerød
2.62

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Esbjerg x Hillerød:

🔮 Hillerød wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hillerød, you can win up to $1310.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Esbjerg x Hillerød:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Esbjerg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hillerød in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-187.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Esbjerg scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Hillerød scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Esbjerg matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Hillerød matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Esbjerg conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Esbjerg is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Esbjerg x Hillerød for the Denmark Division 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ Esbjerg X Hillerød – Denmark Division 1
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 08:00
🔵 Esbjerg – Winning probability: 33.13% | Fair line: 3.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.14% | Fair line: 4.14
🔴 Hillerød – Winning probability: 42.73% | Fair line: 2.34
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Esbjerg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Esbjerg and Hillerød.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Esbjerg x Hillerød

Is it worth betting on Esbjerg?

🔵 Esbjerg: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $438.90;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$231.10.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $585.60;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$174.40.

Is it worth betting on Hillerød?

🔴 Hillerød: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $696.60
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$126.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Esbjerg x Hillerød

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Esbjerg
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Esbjerg x Hillerød

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Esbjerg and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Esbjerg.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Hillerød.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Esbjerg x Hillerød

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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