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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20 Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 08h00 Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20
PREDICTION No tip
Empoli U20 Empoli U20
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Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20 Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Our betting tip for Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
08:00
Cagliari U20 Cagliari U20
2.30
X
3.37
Empoli U20 Empoli U20
2.60

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20

Important information for your tip for Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cagliari U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $145.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Empoli U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-250.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Empoli U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20, with Cagliari U20 as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Cagliari U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Empoli U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Cagliari U20 has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Empoli U20 playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ Cagliari U20 X Empoli U20 – Italy Campionato Primavera 1
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 08:00
πŸ”΅ Cagliari U20 – Winning probability: 40.59% | Fair line: 2.46
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.42% | Fair line: 3.52
πŸ”΄ Empoli U20 – Winning probability: 30.99% | Fair line: 3.23
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cagliari U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20

Is it a good idea to bet on Cagliari U20?

πŸ”΅ Cagliari U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – profiting $533.00;
  • And would lose other 590 times – having a loss of -$590.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$57.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $663.60
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$56.40.

Is it worth betting on Empoli U20?

πŸ”΄ Empoli U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $496.00;
  • And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$194.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Cagliari U20
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Cagliari U20 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Cagliari U20.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Cagliari U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cagliari U20 x Empoli U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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