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Home » Predictions » Others » Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland
Säffle SK Säffle SK
PREDICTION No tip
Vänersborgs IF Vänersborgs IF
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Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF Betting tips for September 29 in Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland

Our betting tip for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
09:00
Säffle SK Säffle SK
2.29
X
3.56
Vänersborgs IF Vänersborgs IF
2.48

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF

The main points for the tip for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Säffle SK in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-47.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Vänersborgs IF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-268.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Vänersborgs IF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Säffle SK conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Vänersborgs IF conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF for the Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland – 29 of September

🏟️ Säffle SK X Vänersborgs IF – Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Säffle SK – Winning probability: 39.89% | Fair line: 2.51
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.41% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 Vänersborgs IF – Winning probability: 37.70% | Fair line: 2.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Säffle SK
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF

Is it a good idea to bet on Säffle SK?

🔵 Säffle SK: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $516.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$84.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $563.20;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$216.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on Vänersborgs IF?

🔴 Vänersborgs IF: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.48. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $562.40;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$57.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Säffle SK
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Säffle SK, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Säffle SK.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Vänersborgs IF.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Säffle SK x Vänersborgs IF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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