AaB x Sonderjyske Betting tips for September 29 in Denmark Superligaen

Our betting tip for AaB x Sonderjyske, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

AaB 2.32

X 3.55

Sonderjyske 2.75

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AaB x Sonderjyske:

🔮 Sonderjyske wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Sonderjyske, you can win up to $1375.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for AaB x Sonderjyske: 👉 If you had bet $100 on AaB in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. 👉 In the last 6 AaB matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AaB conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 AaB has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Sonderjyske playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on AaB x Sonderjyske?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from AaB x Sonderjyske for the Denmark Superligaen – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AaB x Sonderjyske right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for AaB x Sonderjyske

Is betting on AaB worth it?

🔵 AaB: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 10 times – profiting $13.20;
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$976.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $204.00
• And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$716.00.

Is it worth betting on Sonderjyske?

🔴 Sonderjyske: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 91.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 910 times – having a profit of $1592.50;
• And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$1502.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match AaB x Sonderjyske

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.0 AaB
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AaB x Sonderjyske

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +2.0 AaB, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 AaB.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 2.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Sonderjyske.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AaB x Sonderjyske

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 1.00, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.