Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Betting tips for September 29 in Poland II Liga

Our betting tip for Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 09:00

Rekord Bielsko-Biala 2.87

X 3.44

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 2.08

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

The main points for the tip for Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Rekord Bielsko-Biala in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $104.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Rekord Bielsko-Biala conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has not lost any of them. 👉 It is not a good time for Rekord Bielsko-Biala as home team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Analysis from Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki for the Poland II Liga – 29 of September

When the best bet on Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Is it a good idea to bet on Rekord Bielsko-Biala?

🔵 Rekord Bielsko-Biala: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – profiting $411.40;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$368.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $658.80;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.20.

Should you bet on Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki?

🔴 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 50.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
• And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$40.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Rekord Bielsko-Biala, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Rekord Bielsko-Biala.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Rekord Bielsko-Biala x Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.