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Home » Predictions » Others » Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Poland III Liga
Podhale Nowy Targ Podhale Nowy Targ
PREDICTION No tip
Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz
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Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz Betting tips for September 29 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
09:00
Podhale Nowy Targ Podhale Nowy Targ
2.44
X
3.44
Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz
2.45

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Some important points for the tip for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Sandecja Nowy Sacz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $372.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Sandecja Nowy Sacz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 9 road matches, Sandecja Nowy Sacz has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz for the Poland III Liga – 29 of September

🏟️ Podhale Nowy Targ X Sandecja Nowy Sacz – Poland III Liga
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Podhale Nowy Targ – Winning probability: 35.56% | Fair line: 2.81
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.08% | Fair line: 3.99
🔴 Sandecja Nowy Sacz – Winning probability: 39.36% | Fair line: 2.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Podhale Nowy Targ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Is it a good idea to bet on Podhale Nowy Targ?

🔵 Podhale Nowy Targ: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $518.40;
  • And would lose other 640 times – having a loss of -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$121.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.44. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $610.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$140.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

🔴 Sandecja Nowy Sacz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 390 times – having a profit of $565.50;
  • And would have lost other 610 times – with a loss of -$610.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$44.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Podhale Nowy Targ
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Podhale Nowy Targ, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Podhale Nowy Targ.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Podhale Nowy Targ.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Podhale Nowy Targ x Sandecja Nowy Sacz

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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