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Home » Predictions » Others » Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 09h00 Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
Diyarbakirspor Diyarbakirspor
PREDICTION Karacabey Birlikspor AS Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Karacabey Birlikspor AS Karacabey Birlikspor AS
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS Betting tips for September 29 in Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi

Our betting tip for Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
09:00
Diyarbakirspor Diyarbakirspor
4.10
X
3.20
Karacabey Birlikspor AS Karacabey Birlikspor AS
1.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS:

🔮 Karacabey Birlikspor AS wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Karacabey Birlikspor AS, you can win up to $900.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Karacabey Birlikspor AS in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Karacabey Birlikspor AS scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Karacabey Birlikspor AS, Diyarbakirspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS, with Diyarbakirspor as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Karacabey Birlikspor AS conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Diyarbakirspor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Karacabey Birlikspor AS.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS for the Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi – 29 of September

🏟️ Diyarbakirspor X Karacabey Birlikspor AS – Turkey 2 Lig Kirmizi
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 09:00
🔵 Diyarbakirspor – Winning probability: 12.21% | Fair line: 8.19
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.49% | Fair line: 4.45
🔴 Karacabey Birlikspor AS – Winning probability: 65.30% | Fair line: 1.53
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Diyarbakirspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS

Is it a good idea to bet on Diyarbakirspor?

🔵 Diyarbakirspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $372.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$508.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.49% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $484.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$296.00.

Is it worth betting on Karacabey Birlikspor AS?

🔴 Karacabey Birlikspor AS: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 650 times – this would give you a profit of $520.00
  • And would have lost other 350 times – with a loss of -$350.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$170.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Diyarbakirspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Diyarbakirspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Diyarbakirspor.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Diyarbakirspor x Karacabey Birlikspor AS

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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