Chieti x Castelfidardo Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
| 📅 29/9/2024 10:00 |
 Chieti1.45 |
X 4.00 |
Castelfidardo  5.60 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Chieti x Castelfidardo:
🔮 Chieti wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Chieti, you can win up to $725.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Chieti x Castelfidardo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chieti in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $115.0. |
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Analysis from Chieti x Castelfidardo for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September
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🏟️ Chieti X Castelfidardo – Italy Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Chieti and Castelfidardo.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Chieti x Castelfidardo
Is betting on Chieti worth it?
🔵 Chieti: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 73.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 730 times – this would give you a profit of $328.50
- And would lose other 270 times – having a loss of -$270.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$58.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $570.00
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.00.
Is it worth betting on Castelfidardo?
🔴 Castelfidardo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $368.00;
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$552.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Chieti x Castelfidardo
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Chieti
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Chieti x Castelfidardo
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Chieti and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Chieti.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Chieti.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Chieti x Castelfidardo
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
