Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Ligorna Ligorna
PREDICTION Ligorna wins Probability 79% 1 X 2
ASD Borgaro Nobis ASD Borgaro Nobis
ODD: @1.36 Don't miss this prediction!

Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Ligorna Ligorna
1.36
X
4.27
ASD Borgaro Nobis ASD Borgaro Nobis
7.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis:

🔮 Ligorna wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ligorna, you can win up to $680.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ligorna in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $168.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ligorna scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, ASD Borgaro Nobis scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 ASD Borgaro Nobis matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, ASD Borgaro Nobis conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

🏟️ Ligorna X ASD Borgaro Nobis – Italy Serie D
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Ligorna – Winning probability: 79.19% | Fair line: 1.26
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.09% | Fair line: 6.63
🔴 ASD Borgaro Nobis – Winning probability: 5.72% | Fair line: 17.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Ligorna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis

Is it a good idea to bet on Ligorna?

🔵 Ligorna: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 79.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – profiting $284.40;
  • And would have lost other 210 times – with a loss of -$210.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$74.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.27. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $490.50
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$359.50.

Is it worth betting on ASD Borgaro Nobis?

🔴 ASD Borgaro Nobis: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$580.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Ligorna
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Ligorna and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Ligorna.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 ASD Borgaro Nobis.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ligorna x ASD Borgaro Nobis

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters