AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 10:00

AVC Vogherese 1919 3.00

X 3.10

Asti 2.15

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti

Some important points for the tip for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Asti in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AVC Vogherese 1919 scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Asti scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, AVC Vogherese 1919 conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Asti conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti?

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Analysis from AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti

Is it a good idea to bet on AVC Vogherese 1919?

🔵 AVC Vogherese 1919: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $420.00
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$370.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 310 times – having a profit of $651.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$39.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on Asti?

🔴 Asti: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $552.00;
• And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$32.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Handicaps analysis for the match AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AVC Vogherese 1919
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 AVC Vogherese 1919 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 AVC Vogherese 1919.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AVC Vogherese 1919 x Asti

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.