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Home » Predictions » Others » Forli x US Corticella Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Forli Forli
PREDICTION Forli wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
US Corticella US Corticella
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction!

Forli x US Corticella Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Forli x US Corticella, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Forli Forli
1.76
X
3.30
US Corticella US Corticella
4.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Forli x US Corticella:

🔮 Forli wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Forli, you can win up to $880.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Forli x US Corticella:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Forli in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-153.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, US Corticella conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for US Corticella as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Forli x US Corticella:

Analysis from Forli x US Corticella for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

🏟️ Forli X US Corticella – Italy Serie D
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Forli – Winning probability: 67.20% | Fair line: 1.49
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.00% | Fair line: 5.26
🔴 US Corticella – Winning probability: 13.79% | Fair line: 7.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Forli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Forli x US Corticella is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Forli x US Corticella

Is it worth betting on Forli?

🔵 Forli: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $509.20
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$179.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $437.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$373.00.

Is it worth betting on US Corticella?

🔴 US Corticella: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $427.00;
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$433.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Forli x US Corticella

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Forli
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Forli x US Corticella

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Forli, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Forli.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 US Corticella.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Forli x US Corticella

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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