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Home » Predictions » Others » Piacenza x Lentigione Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
Piacenza Piacenza
PREDICTION Piacenza wins Probability 66% 1 X 2
Lentigione Lentigione
ODD: @1.85 Don't miss this prediction!

Piacenza x Lentigione Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Piacenza x Lentigione, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
Piacenza Piacenza
1.85
X
3.30
Lentigione Lentigione
3.72

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Piacenza x Lentigione:

🔮 Piacenza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Piacenza, you can win up to $925.00!

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The main points for the tip for Piacenza x Lentigione:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Piacenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-82.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Piacenza scored at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Piacenza x Lentigione for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

🏟️ Piacenza X Lentigione – Italy Serie D
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 Piacenza – Winning probability: 66.58% | Fair line: 1.5
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.48% | Fair line: 4.65
🔴 Lentigione – Winning probability: 11.93% | Fair line: 8.38
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Piacenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Piacenza and Lentigione.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Piacenza x Lentigione

Is betting on Piacenza worth it?

🔵 Piacenza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 66.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 670 times – having a profit of $569.50;
  • And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$239.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$307.00.

Is betting on Lentigione worth it?

🔴 Lentigione: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $326.40
  • And would have lost other 880 times – with a loss of -$880.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$553.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Piacenza x Lentigione

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Piacenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Piacenza x Lentigione

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Piacenza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Piacenza.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Piacenza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Piacenza x Lentigione

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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