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Home » Predictions » Others » USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908 Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h00 Italy Serie D
USD Latte Dolce USD Latte Dolce
PREDICTION No tip
AC Savoia 1908 AC Savoia 1908
Don't miss this prediction!

USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908 Betting tips for September 29 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:00
USD Latte Dolce USD Latte Dolce
2.62
X
3.10
AC Savoia 1908 AC Savoia 1908
2.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908

The main points for the tip for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908:

👉 If you had bet $100 on USD Latte Dolce in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, AC Savoia 1908 conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908 for the Italy Serie D – 29 of September

🏟️ USD Latte Dolce X AC Savoia 1908 – Italy Serie D
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:00
🔵 USD Latte Dolce – Winning probability: 28.89% | Fair line: 3.46
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.72% | Fair line: 3.06
🔴 AC Savoia 1908 – Winning probability: 38.39% | Fair line: 2.6
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 USD Latte Dolce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908

Is betting on USD Latte Dolce worth it?

🔵 USD Latte Dolce: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 28.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $469.80
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$240.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $693.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$23.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on AC Savoia 1908 worth it?

🔴 AC Savoia 1908: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 38.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 380 times – having a profit of $532.00;
  • And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$88.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 USD Latte Dolce
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 USD Latte Dolce, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 USD Latte Dolce.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USD Latte Dolce x AC Savoia 1908

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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