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Home » Predictions » Others » Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 10h30 Russia Premier League
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
PREDICTION Krylia Sovetov wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
FK Khimki FK Khimki
ODD: @1.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki Betting tips for September 29 in Russia Premier League

Our betting tip for Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
10:30
Krylia Sovetov Krylia Sovetov
1.83
X
3.62
FK Khimki FK Khimki
4.06

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki:

🔮 Krylia Sovetov wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Krylia Sovetov, you can win up to $915.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Krylia Sovetov in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-114.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Krylia Sovetov conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Krylia Sovetov has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against FK Khimki playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki:

Analysis from Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki for the Russia Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ Krylia Sovetov X FK Khimki – Russia Premier League
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 10:30
🔵 Krylia Sovetov – Winning probability: 63.94% | Fair line: 1.56
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.35% | Fair line: 5.45
🔴 FK Khimki – Winning probability: 17.70% | Fair line: 5.65
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Krylia Sovetov
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki

Is betting on Krylia Sovetov worth it?

🔵 Krylia Sovetov: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 63.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $531.20;
  • And would lose other 360 times – losing -$360.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$171.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.62. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $471.60
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$348.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on FK Khimki?

🔴 FK Khimki: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.7% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $550.80;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$269.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Krylia Sovetov
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Krylia Sovetov, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Krylia Sovetov.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Krylia Sovetov.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Krylia Sovetov x FK Khimki

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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