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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Rodange x FC Mondercange Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Luxembourg Division Nationale
FC Rodange FC Rodange
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
FC Mondercange FC Mondercange
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Rodange x FC Mondercange Betting tips for September 29 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for FC Rodange x FC Mondercange, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:00
FC Rodange FC Rodange
2.37
X
3.50
FC Mondercange FC Mondercange
2.49

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Rodange x FC Mondercange:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1750.00!

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The main points for the tip for FC Rodange x FC Mondercange:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Mondercange in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against FC Mondercange, FC Rodange scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, FC Mondercange conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 FC Rodange has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against FC Mondercange.
👉 It is not a good time for FC Mondercange as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from FC Rodange x FC Mondercange for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 29 of September

🏟️ FC Rodange X FC Mondercange – Luxembourg Division Nationale
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 FC Rodange – Winning probability: 37.09% | Fair line: 2.7
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.24% | Fair line: 3.31
🔴 FC Mondercange – Winning probability: 32.67% | Fair line: 3.06
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Rodange
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on FC Rodange x FC Mondercange is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Rodange x FC Mondercange

Is betting on FC Rodange worth it?

🔵 FC Rodange: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 370 times – having a profit of $506.90;
  • And would lose other 630 times – losing -$630.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$123.10.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $750.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Should you bet on FC Mondercange?

🔴 FC Mondercange: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $491.70;
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$178.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match FC Rodange x FC Mondercange

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 FC Rodange
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Rodange x FC Mondercange

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 FC Rodange, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 FC Rodange.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Rodange x FC Mondercange

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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