Braga B x Amarante Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for Braga B x Amarante, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 11:00

Braga B 2.30

X 3.10

Amarante 2.88

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Braga B x Amarante:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Braga B x Amarante

Important information for your tip for Braga B x Amarante: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Braga B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0. 👉 Braga B did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 9 matches as the away team, Amarante scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 Braga B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Amarante is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 5 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Analysis from Braga B x Amarante for the Portugal Liga 3 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Braga B x Amarante right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Braga B x Amarante

Is it a good idea to bet on Braga B?

🔵 Braga B: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 410 times – profiting $533.00;
• And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$57.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 310 times – profiting $651.00;
• And would lose other 690 times – having a loss of -$690.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$39.00.

Should you bet on Amarante?

🔴 Amarante: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $545.20
• And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$164.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Braga B x Amarante

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Braga B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Braga B x Amarante

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Braga B, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Braga B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Amarante.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Braga B x Amarante

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.