Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla Betting tips for September 29 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 29/9/2024 11:15 |
 Athletic Bilbao1.65 |
X 3.80 |
Sevilla  5.15 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla:
🔮 Athletic Bilbao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $825.00!
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Some important points for the tip for Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Athletic Bilbao in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $18.0. |
Looking for another bookie to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla for the Spain La Liga – 29 of September
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🏟️ Athletic Bilbao X Sevilla – Spain La Liga |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla
Should you bet on Athletic Bilbao?
🔵 Athletic Bilbao: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.65. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 720 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
- And would have lost other 280 times – with a loss of -$280.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $532.00
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$278.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Sevilla?
🔴 Sevilla: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.15. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 90 times – having a profit of $373.50;
- And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$536.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Athletic Bilbao and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Athletic Bilbao.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Athletic Bilbao.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Athletic Bilbao x Sevilla
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
