CD Castellon x Tenerife Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda
| 📅 29/9/2024 11:15 |
 CD Castellon1.73 |
X 3.60 |
Tenerife  4.40 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for CD Castellon x Tenerife:
🔮 CD Castellon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on CD Castellon, you can win up to $865.00!
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The main points for the tip for CD Castellon x Tenerife: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CD Castellon in each of its last 4 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-400. |
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Analysis from CD Castellon x Tenerife for the Spain Segunda – 29 of September
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🏟️ CD Castellon X Tenerife – Spain Segunda |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for CD Castellon x Tenerife right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Castellon x Tenerife
Is betting on CD Castellon worth it?
🔵 CD Castellon: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 69.27%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 690 times – profiting $503.70;
- And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$193.70.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $494.00;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$316.00.
Should you bet on Tenerife?
🔴 Tenerife: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $408.00;
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$472.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match CD Castellon x Tenerife
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 CD Castellon
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Castellon x Tenerife
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 CD Castellon and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 CD Castellon.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Tenerife.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Castellon x Tenerife
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
