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Home » Predictions » Others » Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen Betting tips for September 29 in Germany 3.Liga
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h30 Germany 3.Liga
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
PREDICTION Dynamo Dresden wins Probability 82% 1 X 2
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
ODD: @1.46 Don't miss this prediction!

Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen Betting tips for September 29 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
11:30
Dynamo Dresden Dynamo Dresden
1.46
X
4.30
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
5.70

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen:

🔮 Dynamo Dresden wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dynamo Dresden, you can win up to $730.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Dynamo Dresden in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $96.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alemannia Aachen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Dynamo Dresden scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Alemannia Aachen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Alemannia Aachen conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen for the Germany 3.Liga – 29 of September

🏟️ Dynamo Dresden X Alemannia Aachen – Germany 3.Liga
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 11:30
🔵 Dynamo Dresden – Winning probability: 82.40% | Fair line: 1.21
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.02% | Fair line: 8.32
🔴 Alemannia Aachen – Winning probability: 5.58% | Fair line: 17.92
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Dynamo Dresden
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen

Should you bet on Dynamo Dresden?

🔵 Dynamo Dresden: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.46. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 820 times – profiting $377.20;
  • And would lose other 180 times – having a loss of -$180.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$197.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $396.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$484.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Alemannia Aachen?

🔴 Alemannia Aachen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $282.00
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$658.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Dynamo Dresden
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Dynamo Dresden and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Dynamo Dresden.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Dynamo Dresden x Alemannia Aachen

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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