Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade Betting tips for September 29 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

Mladost Lucani 3.10

X 3.40

Partizan Belgrade 2.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade:

🔮 Partizan Belgrade wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Partizan Belgrade, you can win up to $1025.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mladost Lucani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $528.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Partizan Belgrade in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-350.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Mladost Lucani scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Partizan Belgrade conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Mladost Lucani conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Partizan Belgrade. 👉 Mladost Lucani is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Analysis from Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade for the Serbia Super Liga – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade

Is it a good idea to bet on Mladost Lucani?

🔵 Mladost Lucani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $399.00
• And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$411.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$150.00.

Should you bet on Partizan Belgrade?

🔴 Partizan Belgrade: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 56.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.05. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 560 times – profiting $588.00;
• And would lose other 440 times – having a loss of -$440.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$148.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Mladost Lucani
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Mladost Lucani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Mladost Lucani.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Mladost Lucani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mladost Lucani x Partizan Belgrade

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.