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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Nantes x St Etienne Betting tips for September 29 in France Ligue 1
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 12h00 France Ligue 1
Nantes Nantes
PREDICTION Nantes wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
St Etienne St Etienne
ODD: @1.78 Don't miss this prediction!

Nantes x St Etienne Betting tips for September 29 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Nantes x St Etienne, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
12:00
Nantes Nantes
1.78
X
3.52
St Etienne St Etienne
4.11

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nantes x St Etienne:

🔮 Nantes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nantes, you can win up to $890.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Nantes x St Etienne:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Nantes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on St Etienne in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 St Etienne did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Nantes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against St Etienne, Nantes scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, St Etienne conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Nantes conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against St Etienne.
👉 It is not a good time for St Etienne as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Nantes x St Etienne?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Nantes x St Etienne, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Nantes x St Etienne for the France Ligue 1 – 29 of September

🏟️ Nantes X St Etienne – France Ligue 1
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Nantes – Winning probability: 71.72% | Fair line: 1.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.93% | Fair line: 6.7
🔴 St Etienne – Winning probability: 13.35% | Fair line: 7.49
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Nantes x St Etienne right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Nantes x St Etienne

Is betting on Nantes worth it?

🔵 Nantes: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 720 times – profiting $561.60;
  • And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$281.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.52. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $378.00
  • And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$472.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on St Etienne?

🔴 St Etienne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $404.30;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$465.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Nantes x St Etienne

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Nantes
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nantes x St Etienne

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Nantes, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Nantes.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Nantes.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nantes x St Etienne

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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