Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE Betting tips for September 29 in Hungary NB II

Our betting tip for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:00

Szeged-Csanad Grosics 2.00

X 3.13

Gyirmot SE 3.48

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE

The main points for the tip for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Szeged-Csanad Grosics in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-174.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gyirmot SE in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $142.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Szeged-Csanad Grosics scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Szeged-Csanad Grosics matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Szeged-Csanad Grosics conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Gyirmot SE conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE for the Hungary NB II – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE

Is it a good idea to bet on Szeged-Csanad Grosics?

🔵 Szeged-Csanad Grosics: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 47.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 480 times – profiting $480.00;
• And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.66% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.13. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 300 times – having a profit of $639.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$61.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Gyirmot SE?

🔴 Gyirmot SE: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.48. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $545.60
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$234.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Szeged-Csanad Grosics
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Szeged-Csanad Grosics, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Szeged-Csanad Grosics.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Gyirmot SE.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Szeged-Csanad Grosics x Gyirmot SE

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.