Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women Betting tips for September 29 in England Super League Women

Our betting tip for Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 12:30

Aston Villa Women 2.70

X 3.35

Tottenham Women 2.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women:

🔮 Tottenham Women wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Tottenham Women, you can win up to $1150.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Aston Villa Women in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tottenham Women in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-364.0. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Aston Villa Women scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Tottenham Women, Aston Villa Women scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Tottenham Women matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women, with Aston Villa Women as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Aston Villa Women conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Tottenham Women conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Aston Villa Women conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Tottenham Women.

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Analysis from Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women for the England Super League Women – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women

Is betting on Aston Villa Women worth it?

🔵 Aston Villa Women: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $561.00
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$109.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $517.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$263.00.

Is it worth betting on Tottenham Women?

🔴 Tottenham Women: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – profiting $585.00;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$35.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Aston Villa Women
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Aston Villa Women, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Aston Villa Women.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 Aston Villa Women.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Aston Villa Women x Tottenham Women

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.