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Home » Predictions » Others » Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 13h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
Xerez CD Xerez CD
PREDICTION No tip
Juventud Torremolinos CF Juventud Torremolinos CF
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Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4

Our betting tip for Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
13:00
Xerez CD Xerez CD
2.10
X
2.88
Juventud Torremolinos CF Juventud Torremolinos CF
3.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF

Important information for your tip for Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventud Torremolinos CF in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-320.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Juventud Torremolinos CF scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Juventud Torremolinos CF has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4 – 29 of September

🏟️ Xerez CD X Juventud Torremolinos CF – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 4
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Xerez CD – Winning probability: 50.32% | Fair line: 1.99
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.54% | Fair line: 3.63
🔴 Juventud Torremolinos CF – Winning probability: 22.13% | Fair line: 4.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Xerez CD
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Xerez CD and Juventud Torremolinos CF.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF

Is betting on Xerez CD worth it?

🔵 Xerez CD: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 50.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – profiting $550.00;
  • And would lose other 500 times – losing -$500.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$50.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.54% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – profiting $526.40;
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$193.60.

Should you bet on Juventud Torremolinos CF?

🔴 Juventud Torremolinos CF: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.13%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$230.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Xerez CD
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Xerez CD, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Xerez CD.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Xerez CD.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Xerez CD x Juventud Torremolinos CF

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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