CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 18

Our betting tip for CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 13:00

CD Quintanar del Rey 1.40

X 4.10

Villarrobledo 6.17

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo

The main points for the tip for CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Villarrobledo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 CD Quintanar del Rey did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Villarrobledo, CD Quintanar del Rey scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 CD Quintanar del Rey matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Villarrobledo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo for the Spain Tercera Group 18 – 29 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between CD Quintanar del Rey and Villarrobledo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo

Is it a good idea to bet on CD Quintanar del Rey?

🔵 CD Quintanar del Rey: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 690 times – having a profit of $276.00;
• And would lose other 310 times – losing -$310.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$34.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $651.00;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$139.00.

Is it worth betting on Villarrobledo?

🔴 Villarrobledo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.83% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 100 times – profiting $517.00;
• And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$383.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 CD Quintanar del Rey
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 CD Quintanar del Rey and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 CD Quintanar del Rey.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Villarrobledo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for CD Quintanar del Rey x Villarrobledo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.