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Home » Predictions » Others » Valencia B x CE Europa Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 14h00 Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
Valencia B Valencia B
PREDICTION No tip
CE Europa CE Europa
Don't miss this prediction!

Valencia B x CE Europa Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3

Our betting tip for Valencia B x CE Europa, Sunday, 29/9/2024
📅 29/9/2024
14:00
Valencia B Valencia B
2.37
X
2.94
CE Europa CE Europa
2.87

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Valencia B x CE Europa:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Valencia B x CE Europa

Important information for your tip for Valencia B x CE Europa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia B in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CE Europa scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Valencia B matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from Valencia B x CE Europa for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3 – 29 of September

🏟️ Valencia B X CE Europa – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 3
📅 29 of September, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 Valencia B – Winning probability: 45.96% | Fair line: 2.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.78% | Fair line: 3.36
🔴 CE Europa – Winning probability: 24.26% | Fair line: 4.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Valencia B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Valencia B x CE Europa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valencia B x CE Europa

Is it worth betting on Valencia B?

🔵 Valencia B: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.96% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.37. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – profiting $630.20;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.20.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $582.00;
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$118.00.

Is betting on CE Europa worth it?

🔴 CE Europa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.26% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $448.80;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$311.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia B x CE Europa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Valencia B
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia B x CE Europa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Valencia B and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Valencia B.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Valencia B.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia B x CE Europa

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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